T.V. Paul

(De-)Globalization and International Order

by Markus Kornprobst & T.V. Paul

Abstract

What will become of liberal order as “deglobalizing” pressures continue to mount? And what happens to globalization as liberal order comes under increasing pressure?  Indicators of economic interdependence show signs of plateauing. Even as NATO and Russia square off against one another, the alliance faces significant internal challenges. From decreasing global direct investment to Brexit, it looks like the trends of the 1990s are reversing.

Source: https://www.duckofminerva.com/2022/01/de-globalisation-and-international-order.html

The Corona Virus Crisis: The Latest of Many Challenges to the Liberal International Order

China-US Rivalry: Sleepwalking Into War?

If confidence building measures and the adoption of an arms control regime in the South China Sea, China and the US risk stumbling into a catastrophic war.

Source: https://madrascourier.com/policy/china-us-rivalry-sleepwalking-into-war/

Future of International Institutions and Soft Balancing

Institutions have long been used as a means for soft balancing, including by the US. However, the US and its allies cannot ignore the norms of the rules based international order, for to do so risks undermining the shared norms soft balancing depends on.

Source: http://blog.yalebooks.com/2018/10/18/the-future-of-international-institutions-and-soft-balancing/

The Power of Non-Alignment

Finding themselves caught between the giants of the United States and China, small states of the Asia-Pacific are not destined to become pawns in the midst of great power competition; instead they can resurrect the ‘Bandung spirit’ and adopt a policy of non’alignment through the use of soft-balancing.

Source: https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/the-power-of-non-alignment/article25185002.ece

Soft Balancing vs. Hard Clashes: The Risks of War Over the South China Sea

To minimize the risk of conflict in the South China Sea, all parties should consider measures to alleviate the dangers that arise from time pressures.

Source: https://www.globalasia.org/v13no3/feature/soft-balancing-vs-hard-clashes-the-risks-of-war-over-the-south-china-sea_tv-paul

How India will React to the Rise of China: the Soft-Balancing Strategy Reconsidered

To restrain China India is likely to form both a soft-balancing coalition and limited hard balancing coalition, but the formation of a traditional hard-balancing coalition with the United States is very unlikely.

Source: https://warontherocks.com/2018/09/india-and-the-rise-of-china-soft-balancing-strategy-reconsidered/