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T.V. Paul » News

China-US Rivalry: Sleepwalking Into War?

If confidence building measures and the adoption of an arms control regime in the South China Sea, China and the US risk stumbling into a catastrophic war.

Source: https://madrascourier.com/policy/china-us-rivalry-sleepwalking-into-war/

Article in the Yale University Press Blog on the Future of Soft Balancing

Wednesday, October 24th, 2018

Future of International Institutions and Soft Balancing

Institutions have long been used as a means for soft balancing, including by the US. However, the US and its allies cannot ignore the norms of the rules based international order, for to do so risks undermining the shared norms soft balancing depends on.

Source: http://blog.yalebooks.com/2018/10/18/the-future-of-international-institutions-and-soft-balancing/

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Article in the Hindu on the Possibilities for Non-Alignment in the 21st Century

Monday, October 15th, 2018

The Power of Non-Alignment

Finding themselves caught between the giants of the United States and China, small states of the Asia-Pacific are not destined to become pawns in the midst of great power competition; instead they can resurrect the ‘Bandung spirit’ and adopt a policy of non’alignment through the use of soft-balancing.

Source: https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/the-power-of-non-alignment/article25185002.ece

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Article in Global Asia on Strategic Options in the South China Sea

Friday, September 28th, 2018

Soft Balancing vs. Hard Clashes: The Risks of War Over the South China Sea

To minimize the risk of conflict in the South China Sea, all parties should consider measures to alleviate the dangers that arise from time pressures.

Source: https://www.globalasia.org/v13no3/feature/soft-balancing-vs-hard-clashes-the-risks-of-war-over-the-south-china-sea_tv-paul

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Article in War on the Rocks on India’s Strategic Options to Restrain China

Tuesday, September 18th, 2018

How India will React to the Rise of China: the Soft-Balancing Strategy Reconsidered

To restrain China India is likely to form both a soft-balancing coalition and limited hard balancing coalition, but the formation of a traditional hard-balancing coalition with the United States is very unlikely.

Source: https://warontherocks.com/2018/09/india-and-the-rise-of-china-soft-balancing-strategy-reconsidered/

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Article in National Interest on India’s Strategic Options

Saturday, August 11th, 2018

India’s Strategic Roadmap

India’s Strategic Roadmap

Today or tomorrow, China will likely turn against India. New Delhi must be ready for when the time comes.

Source: nationalinterest.org/feature/indias-strategic-roadmap-28322

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My article in Policy Options on Soft Balancing against Trump Administration Policies

Saturday, August 11th, 2018

How “soft balancing” can restrain Trump’s America

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My take on the Helsinki summit between Trump and Putin-July 16, 2018

Tuesday, July 17th, 2018

Analysis: Trump trying to get ahead of allegations

International relations professor T.V. Paul breaks down the surprising comments after talks between Trump and Putin and what they mean.


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For a great set of articles on “Change in World Politics,” see the latest International Studies Review

Monday, June 18th, 2018


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New article on “Assessing Change in World Politics,” part of a special presidential issue of International Studies Review, Forthcoming, 2018

Wednesday, June 6th, 2018




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